Last week, viewers of Klitschko-Gomez got to see yet another boring fight in the heavyweight division, something that has become the norm in recent years. ESPN is back this week with another heavyweight fight, but even though Sam Peter and Eddie Chambers haven’t stepped into the ring yet, the matchup has already disappointed anybody who’s seen the results of the weighi n. There were rumors during the past few months that Peter’s team wasn’t happy with his training habits and the rumors appear to be true since Peter has come in at a disgraceful all time high, 265 pounds.

I would favor Chambers to win a close decision over a top conditioned Peter like the one we saw in the Wlad fight, so it’s hard for me to see anything other than a huge beatdown for Peter tonight when he’ll be fighting in the worst shape of his career. I will be surprised if Peter even lasts the distance.

In top shape, Peter would have a lot of trouble landing meaningful punches against Chambers and would need to outwork him to win rounds. So at 265 where Peter is bound to have major stamina and workrate problems, all he could hope for is stopping Chambers with an early assault, something highly unlikely since Chambers has a solid defensive guard and is very comfortable dealing with pressure.

At 250 against Maskaev a year ago, Peter was extremely slow on his feet, sloppy and inaccurate with his punches, and looked like he was exhausted after every time he would throw a few combos. At 253 against Vitali Klitschko he not only looked slower and sloppier, but he also seemed completely unmotivated. So at 265, he should be nothing more than a punching bag against Chambers. The difference in handspeed and reflexes will be ridiculous and Eddie will be able to tee off on Peter any time he wants to. When someone loses their drive for boxing, their punch resistance goes down. Chambers has underrated power and is the type of sneaky puncher that could surprise Peter with shots that hurt him badly. Chambers doesn’t have good killer instinct and isn’t much of a finisher, but it won’t matter anyways since Peter’s corner could finish it for him, perhaps even by the early-mid rounds when they see he has no chance.

There’s really no point of analyzing a matchup like this in detail since Peter will basically come into this bout as a C- level fighter. The only logical pick here is Chambers and the only question here is not who wins, but how long Peter lasts before getting stopped. I will be shocked if this fight turns out competitive and I think Chambers will have him out of there before six.